the ice down in front of Fort Wayne has stayed pretty dense lately, but it has cleared out a couple times as well. of course, today it is all open water, but it was frozen over just a few days ago.

part of it is the rapid current, and part if it is the fact that there are so many industrial outlets and drains of various sorts concentrated in this area, keeping the average water temperature higher than it normally would be. even though the great lakes may be frozen completely over, the Detroit River itself will probably only get a skin at most.

i'd say if its going to happen at all, this is the winter that it will have the best chance.