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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Dec 2014
    Posts
    455

    Default Will the Gov EVER use science and data RE Covid-19 ?

    Wondering if the Governor will ever begin to consider the "Science and Data" like she claims to be at every press conference.

    The goal of the Stay-at-Home orders was supposed to slow the spread. There's no evidence really that it worked,.. as 66% of the people that got Covid were doing that, and also, as the green line shows in the graph below,.. the infections were likely already dropping well BEFORE the Governor's order began at midnight on 3/24.

    Perhaps it helped a little? Lives were likely saved? .. especially if you don't factor in the ones that have been lost [[and will be lost) from not getting treatment for other conditions, suicides, etc.

    But even if you falsely presume that it works perfectly,... don't you at some point have to look at the data?

    Here's a graph from last Saturday [[ending May 23rd). Showing the New Covid cases.

    NOW HERE'S WHERE ONE NEEDS TO BE SMARTER THAN A STALE BAGEL....

    The stay at home doesn't prevent deaths,. [[at least not directly). Deaths are a percentage of cases,. and cases are a percentage of infections. THE GOAL IS TO REDUCE INFECTIONS.

    Of course cases are a result of testing [[which takes a couple days to get results), and people go to the hospital a few days after symptoms begin,.. and symptoms are a week or two after the original infection [[I.E. "CONFIRMED CASES" get counted some 10-19 days after the initial infection).

    So here I've drawn some lines. The yellow is a smoothing of the CASES in the graph,. the red line is the same line, but shifted left by 2 weeks, so as to show when the infections likely occurred.
    Name:  Covid gph MAY 23 mM.jpg
Views: 434
Size:  95.4 KB

    So how far below ZERO does that red line have to get before we get our economy back?
    Last edited by Bigdd; May-25-20 at 03:06 PM.

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