Fair enough
Perhaps the issue you have is you think that claim is harsh, but it's accurate for the reasons you described.
If the state is poorer and offers people a far lower standard of living before, wouldn't one more or less be a martyr by trying to sick around, especially if they have the choice to be in a place where they can most certainly have and do better?
The improvements have been marginal at best, and really the only ones who truly think these marginal improvements mean things are back to pre-recession norms are those who are either out-of-touch or benefit politically.
In the grand scheme of things, despite 5 years since the last recession, there are still a record number of people out of the workforce, far fewer good-paying jobs and a record number of people dependent on the government. Again, none of the aforementioned should still be the case in a 5-year economic recovery in America.
Yes, I do believe another recession is imminent. Besides the reasons I listed above, the stock market bubble we're in has tripled in value since 2009 without any crashes. The last time there was an economic "growth" period that lasted longer than 7 years without a correction was 1903. Otherwise, a correction has always happened every 7 years.
Could the "rally" we're in now continue beyond 2015? Anything's possible, but that's doubtful.
Much of the thanks goes to the FED with it setting the interest rate so low and its multiple rounds of money printing. Even it admitted the markets would likely drop at least 50% if not for its assistance. The thing is, QE has finally ended and the FED is now contemplating raising the interest rate, since it can't stay at record lows forever.
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