Chinese Space Station Crashing Into Detroit?

**beachboy** · March-11-18, 08:18 PM

Daily Mail [[Fail) broke da news, including a repost from mlive.com:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...e-station.html

Original article:

http://www.mlive.com/news/us-world/i...n_falling.html

Dust off your hard hats ... :O

**Bigb23** · March-12-18, 12:53 AM

Is it made of Legos? I can do Legos. Cheap soap and pregnancy tests I can do without.

And don't watch China Uncensored on YouTube because, oh no here they come aaaaaahhhhhhhhh.

**Zacha341** · March-12-18, 05:14 AM

We'll know soon enough if this is beyond comedy. In the meantime I'll set aside the scoffing as this could mess up a Sunday or any day for that matter.

Dailymail may end up being reliable on this one! China's probably too embarrassed to discuss much beyond parsing, right up thru re-entry.

**Honky Tonk** · March-12-18, 06:33 AM

This is all Trump's fault.

**ASilvaman** · March-12-18, 11:02 AM

Fake news, changing the channel, lol

**Tony Codfish** · March-12-18, 11:11 AM

Shangri La ought to have a chinese space station party.

**Zacha341** · March-12-18, 11:58 AM

Right up thru end... pass the egg rolls!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=orUu0fQJee0

**Richard** · March-12-18, 02:39 PM

I wonder which would be worse,the impact of a 8.5 ton object slamming like an asteroid,or the toxic chemicals.

**Dan Wesson** · March-12-18, 04:38 PM

Originally Posted by Richard

I wonder which would be worse,the impact of a 8.5 ton object slamming like an asteroid,or the toxic chemicals.

8.5ton??

I heard it was won ton....

**Honky Tonk** · March-12-18, 05:19 PM

Originally Posted by Dan Wesson

8.5ton??

I heard it was won ton....

Nice one, Dan!

**Pat001** · March-12-18, 05:24 PM

After it hits the ground, maybe I can convince NASA that the old washing machine in my back yard was part of the space station and they’ll haul it away.

**Richard** · March-12-18, 05:39 PM

^ put a made in China sticker on it and it will be more convincing.

**canuck** · March-12-18, 09:57 PM

The thread title sounds like a mish mash of David Bowie songs.

**Dan Wesson** · March-12-18, 11:41 PM

Originally Posted by canuck

The thread title sounds like a mish mash of David Bowie songs.

Ha...
Ground control to Major Wong

**canuck** · March-13-18, 03:33 AM

Originally Posted by Dan Wesson

Ha...
Ground control to Major Wong

Indeed.

My China girl
A Space Oddity
Panic in Detroit

**jcole** · March-13-18, 07:38 AM

Not quite as dire as all this sounds. The pink is the "highest likelihood" area

http://www.mlive.com/news/us-world/i...n_falling.html

**iheartthed** · March-13-18, 10:51 AM

Originally Posted by jcole

Not quite as dire as all this sounds. The pink is the "highest likelihood" area

http://www.mlive.com/news/us-world/i...n_falling.html

So what they're saying is, it's highly likely to hit Earth.

**jcole** · March-13-18, 11:25 AM

Pretty much.

Originally Posted by iheartthed

So what they're saying is, it's highly likely to hit Earth.

**Richard** · March-13-18, 12:02 PM

^ at least now we know where weather forecasters work their second job,Kinda proves Isaac Newton knew what he was doing anyways.

**beachboy** · March-23-18, 07:05 AM

Originally Posted by Richard

^ at least now we know where weather forecasters work their second job,Kinda proves Isaac Newton knew what he was doing anyways.

Thin Yellow Line near orbital paths indicates highest crash probability - where is Detroit?

Read all about it: https://www.mirror.co.uk/science/chi...ong-1-12237319

The Mirror ... not exactly a definitive source, but.

**Zacha341** · March-23-18, 07:24 AM

Oddly enough, sometimes those kooky sites like mirror and dailymail.uk are spot on --

-- !

**Honky Tonk** · March-23-18, 07:37 AM

My concern is a lot of debris will land in the unpopulated areas on the East Side and no one will notice.

**Jimaz** · March-23-18, 08:10 AM

Originally Posted by beachboy

Thin Yellow Line near orbital paths indicates highest crash probability - where is Detroit?...

This looks like a good example of how different statistical techniques can lead to seemingly contradictory predictions.

Two different prediction techniques:

the single most likely outcome, or
the probability that the outcome will fall within some range.

The latter can be done with regression analysis.

With regression analysis, the wider the range around the single most likely outcome, the more likely the outcome will fall within that range. That makes sense.

The paradox appears when you shrink the range around the single most likely outcome. As the range shrinks, the probability approaches zero until the single most likely outcome appears to have zero probability.