Wilbert, it's mostly your first point.
They had to propose something that would go through the three central counties to even have the hope of getting GOP legislative buy-in. I think people tend to forget tha the creation of the regional transit authority doesn't mean that we build some system already drawn up on the boards. the only immediate effects of the legislation are that DDOT and SMART start to better coordinate their routes and are able to get more federal dollars for operations and capital projects as they are competing as a single entity as opposed to two seperate systems. The other immediate effect is that we get the initial $25 million from LaHood at DOT to begin the construction of the Woodward Street Car.
After that, it's anyone's guess. First, you have to do an Alternative Analysis on each route to see what kind of upgrades [[if any) are needed, and then after that you have to round up funding from the counties. Snyder's BRT plan is just that, a plan. It's not even something that's been formally studied, so passing the transit legislation doesn't mandate anything be built.
I'd bet in the next two years, we have the Woodward Street Car up and running, SEMCOG's commuter rail pulled under the umbrella of the new SEMRTA [[Southeast Michigan Regional Transit Authority) and possibly WALLY, and then a number of routes formally studied but nothing else constructed.
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